Hi,
As someone already pointed out, offer into Croatia was of second hand Gripen C/Ds. SAAB's offer is strong mostly because of Global eye. That would indeed be a force multiplier and real asset for FAF (maybe from historical reasons FAF still does air combat and control from underground bunkers all over Finland as dispersed means to avoid decapitation, like Warsaw pact did, but much more so). As Finland has now the "Lipstick government" led by socialists with the greens and "soft line communists" in tow, all of whom tend always to view Sweden very favorably might mean that politically Sweden also has very good bid. Also SAAB has been major provider for armaments for FDF for 50 years so the goodwill is definitely there. SAAB has also started R&D offices in Finland and in fact SAABs new stand in jammer missile was developed in Finland, so there are a lot of little things going in their favor.
If I worked for SAAB I would take Swiss refuse to let Gripen E to enter the competition as "too immature" as more alarming sign, but play the Canada card where Gripen is against F/A-18 and F-35 as a proof of maturity and concept.